TradeTech Analytics

NSE stocks · long-only · monthly bars · no leverage · v1.0.0 · research study 2026-11-01

Monthly Bollinger breakout NO EDGE

Monthly Bollinger Band breakout with RSI, candle and ATR filters, ATR exits, a portfolio-wide exit rule and risk-based sizing, ₹50 lakh, 2006 to 2025. 211 configurations tested 2006-03 to 2025-09 on survivorship-free NSE data at ₹50 lakh. The baseline earned 8.9% a year at 2x costs against 11.3% for the Nifty 200. The best configuration chosen on 2006-2016 data earned 17.0% against 9.1% there, 15.9% against 14.0% in 2017-2025, and 13.0% against 14.0% from a fresh start; the reality check across all configurations gives p = 0.70. No demonstrated edge over the index.

Verdict

No edge: the best configuration is not distinguishable from selection among many

Baseline 8.9% a year (2x costs) against the Nifty 200's 11.3%, drawdown 50.7%. Best of 211 configurations: 17.0% against 9.1% in development, 15.9% against 14.0% in validation (13.0% against 14.0% from a fresh start), alpha t 0.42, reality check p = 0.70.

  • Specification and bias controls: pre-registered before any result (research/bbm/STRATEGY_BBM.md, with dated amendments). NSE daily file for every name that traded (delisted included), point-in-time top-500 universe, unadjusted split and bonus days detected and removed (found during this build: NSE's previous close is mostly not adjusted), dividends excluded for strategy and index alike. Sealed period (October 2025 onward) never loaded.
  • Baseline entry as specified: first monthly close above the upper band in six months, exits on the 20-month SMA or a Supertrend flip, 20 names: 8.9% at 2x costs, 9.4% at 1x, 8.5% at 3x; win rate 42%, profit factor 2.17, average holding 435 days.
  • Entry filters (RSI 60/65/70, body 50/60/70 %, range/ATR 1.0 to 3.0, and combinations: 81 sets): most beat the baseline in 2017-2025 but not in 2006-2016, so no filter is robustly better. Exits: month-end ATR stops (k = 1.0) improve the baseline in both periods; intramonth ATR stops on daily bars whipsaw at tight k (722 round trips at k = 1.0) and cost gap losses of ₹6 lakh to ₹25 lakh over the path.
  • Portfolio-wide exit (more than 100 breakouts among 200 stocks and at least 75% of positions up 8% or more): never triggers, because the most first-breakout signals in any month was 54 across the whole universe; lower thresholds (T = 10 to 50) fire 0 to 12 times with inconsistent effects.
  • Sizing and risk: risk-based sizing scaled up to use idle cash (RISKFILL, 1% risk, 10% cap, 20 names) keeps average deployment at 70% (the finalist) while the baseline stays about 92% invested; drawdown controls (-15% or -20%) leave the account mostly in cash and are not supported; an index trend filter on entries lowered the drawdown and raised the return in both periods (12.6% and 14.8% against 8.0% and 9.9% for the baseline at 2x costs, drawdown 43% and 35% against 51% and 46%).
  • Overfitting: the finalist was chosen on development data only from 17 eligible configurations; random entries with the same exits and sizing earned a median 5.1% (development) and 9.3% (validation); walk-forward re-selection earned 13.6% against 14.0%. Not independently validated.

Promotion gates

PASS
Validation net CAGR above Nifty 200 at 2x costs (continuous run)
15.9% vs 14.0%
FAIL
Same, fresh start from cash on 1 Jan 2017
13.0% vs 14.0%
FAIL
Alpha t above 1.5 in validation
t = 0.42
PASS
Validation drawdown within index's + 10 points
30.8% vs index 38.2%
PASS
Development CAGR above the random-entry 90th percentile
17.0% vs 9.3%
FAIL
Reality check p below 0.10 over 211 configurations
p = 0.70
PASS
Plateau: at least 60% of neighbours ahead of the index in both periods
78%
PASS
Shifted sample (first 3 years dropped) keeps the sign
16.0% vs 15.1%
FAIL
Walk-forward re-selection ahead of the index
13.6% vs 14.0%

Explain the strategy

Once a month we looked for stocks whose monthly price had jumped above a 'stretch' line (20-month average plus two standard deviations), bought them the next month, and sold when the trend broke. With the rule as written the ₹50 lakh account grew 9% a year after costs against 11% for the market index. Dozens of tweaks looked better in the years we used to choose them, but not clearly better afterwards, so we do not think it beats simply holding the index.

Report

Robustness and scenarios

ScenarioCAGRMax drawdownSharpeIndex CAGRTrades
Finalist, full 2006-2025, costs x116.6%-34.7%0.8911.3%238
Finalist, full 2006-2025, costs x216.5%-30.8%0.8911.3%240
Finalist, full 2006-2025, costs x315.7%-35.4%0.8511.3%242
Finalist, development 2006-2016, costs x217.0%-30.1%0.879.1%114
Finalist, validation 2017-2025, costs x215.8%-30.8%0.8914.0%126
Baseline spec, full 2006-2025, costs x19.4%-50.5%0.5211.3%272
Baseline spec, full 2006-2025, costs x28.9%-50.7%0.5011.3%274
Baseline spec, full 2006-2025, costs x38.5%-50.9%0.4811.3%273
Baseline spec, development 2006-2016, costs x28.0%-50.7%0.459.1%150
Baseline spec, validation 2017-2025, costs x29.9%-45.9%0.5414.0%124
Finalist, fresh start from cash 1 Jan 2017, costs x113.4%-34.6%0.8114.0%127
Finalist, fresh start from cash 1 Jan 2017, costs x213.0%-35.3%0.7914.0%127
Finalist, fresh start 2006 (to 2025-09), costs x216.5%-30.8%0.8911.3%
Finalist, fresh start 2008 (to 2025-09), costs x212.5%-39.5%0.908.2%
Finalist, fresh start 2010 (to 2025-09), costs x215.6%-35.1%0.9110.7%
Finalist, fresh start 2012 (to 2025-09), costs x217.0%-35.1%0.9713.9%
Finalist, fresh start 2014 (to 2025-09), costs x217.9%-32.4%1.0013.3%
Finalist, fresh start 2016 (to 2025-09), costs x215.6%-30.9%0.8812.9%
Finalist, look-back counts only filtered breakouts12.0%-34.9%0.7111.3%
Finalist, ATR through t-1 for the range filter16.5%-30.8%0.8911.3%
Finalist, random signal order (mean of 10)16.3%-32.9%0.8711.3%
Finalist, slippage x116.6%-34.7%0.8911.3%
Finalist, slippage x315.7%-35.4%0.8511.3%
Walk-forward re-selection each January, 2012-2025, costs x213.6%-24.6%0.8114.0%

All 211 configurations tested (2x costs): returns, drawdown, win rate, profit factor, holding, deployment, positions, open risk, costs, missed signals

stageconfigurationCAGR dev (2x costs)index CAGR devmax drawdown devdev_sharpedev_t_alphaCAGR val (2x)index CAGR valmax drawdown valval_sharpeval_t_alphaCAGR fullmax drawdown fullfull_sharpefull_n_tradesfull_win_ratefull_profit_factorfull_expectancyfull_avg_hold_daysfull_avg_investedfull_max_investedfull_avg_nposfull_avg_open_riskfull_recovery_daysfull_worst_monthfull_worst_yearfull_losing_streak_monthscostgapmissedsignals
Abase8.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Arsi607.0%9.1%46.7%0.41-0.58.6%14.0%47.5%0.48-0.957.9%47.5%0.4625843.4%1.7543408.34451.3791.5%100.0%17.6723.2%1583-20.8%-45.4%51309818.660.016131973
Arsi657.1%9.1%46.2%0.41-0.4716.7%14.0%41.7%0.760.5811.4%46.2%0.624145.6%2.56114867.55473.1290.9%100.0%16.9723.7%1645-23.0%-44.7%51552735.990.010621400
Arsi706.5%9.1%44.1%0.4-0.5112.1%14.0%38.0%0.61-0.29.0%44.1%0.5122744.5%2.2883057.38442.2686.6%100.0%14.7124.2%1701-21.9%-40.2%61375282.00.0468765
Abody50b5.9%9.1%50.5%0.36-0.78.6%14.0%50.8%0.46-0.777.2%50.8%0.4326842.5%1.7541827.63431.791.7%100.0%17.3623.5%1633-21.6%-49.4%61205551.390.015431897
Abody50a5.9%9.1%50.5%0.36-0.78.6%14.0%50.8%0.46-0.777.2%50.8%0.4326842.5%1.7541827.63431.791.7%100.0%17.3623.5%1633-21.6%-49.4%61205551.390.015431897
Abody60b4.1%9.1%48.3%0.28-0.8811.1%14.0%45.2%0.59-0.447.3%48.3%0.4426840.7%1.7336435.06430.4890.7%100.0%17.1823.4%1642-25.6%-47.4%51110692.270.012391587
Abody60a4.1%9.1%48.3%0.28-0.8811.1%14.0%45.2%0.59-0.447.3%48.3%0.4426840.7%1.7336435.06430.4890.7%100.0%17.1823.4%1642-25.6%-47.4%51110692.270.012391587
Abody70b4.1%9.1%47.3%0.29-0.913.1%14.0%42.3%0.68-0.088.2%47.3%0.4826242.0%1.8350273.18421.7690.2%100.0%16.3123.6%1643-25.6%-44.2%51276538.760.08671187
Abody70a4.1%9.1%47.3%0.29-0.913.1%14.0%42.3%0.68-0.088.2%47.3%0.4826242.0%1.8350273.18421.7690.2%100.0%16.3123.6%1643-25.6%-44.2%51276538.760.08671187
Arng1.08.8%9.1%44.9%0.49-0.1911.2%14.0%44.6%0.58-0.3310.0%44.9%0.5527443.1%2.2278257.35431.2591.5%100.0%17.5623.5%898-20.8%-43.4%51587126.210.016922055
Arng1.6188.0%9.1%46.3%0.46-0.1613.9%14.0%43.7%0.70.0910.8%46.3%0.5923040.4%2.2119774.21449.3288.4%100.0%15.1824.6%1572-22.6%-44.8%61828666.640.08851175
Arng2.06.5%9.1%51.0%0.38-0.3513.2%14.0%37.5%0.670.079.6%51.0%0.5222143.0%1.7663425.65422.4885.9%100.0%13.9325.4%1689-20.9%-48.7%51463988.470.0411676
Arng2.6183.6%9.1%51.3%0.27-0.7419.5%14.0%36.8%0.780.8910.6%51.3%0.5314940.3%2.33127159.39394.8166.0%100.0%8.8321.0%2288-24.1%-46.0%41125307.180.073239
Arng3.03.8%9.1%48.2%0.28-0.7915.1%14.0%32.8%0.690.268.8%48.2%0.498937.1%2.33158998.37367.0749.9%100.0%4.7816.4%2459-25.3%-41.7%5853784.480.017117
Arsi60+body504.8%9.1%45.8%0.32-0.919.1%14.0%46.1%0.49-0.966.9%46.1%0.4226741.9%1.6433353.25434.8791.2%100.0%17.1623.2%1583-20.8%-44.6%61146517.060.013311683
Arsi60+body603.6%9.1%48.9%0.26-0.989.3%14.0%43.9%0.51-0.866.3%48.9%0.426240.5%1.4923835.79437.9790.0%100.0%17.0923.3%1639-23.2%-48.2%51027274.840.010821423
Arsi60+body703.1%9.1%47.4%0.24-1.067.9%14.0%48.0%0.45-1.265.4%48.0%0.3525842.6%1.3418354.48417.9889.3%100.0%16.0823.4%1733-25.6%-44.4%81055027.650.07641079
Arsi65+body506.9%9.1%45.4%0.42-0.5113.3%14.0%41.7%0.64-0.119.9%45.4%0.5524444.3%2.2480648.32456.8890.5%100.0%16.5624.3%1602-23.0%-44.1%61381751.150.09001225
Arsi65+body607.4%9.1%49.6%0.43-0.3618.2%14.0%38.3%0.840.7412.2%49.6%0.6423642.8%2.73136935.78444.9389.4%100.0%15.5824.3%1636-24.7%-47.8%51701704.920.07381043
Arsi65+body706.4%9.1%47.6%0.38-0.4514.5%14.0%40.5%0.670.1910.1%47.6%0.5422745.8%2.1297408.08439.9387.3%100.0%14.9724.0%1646-27.1%-43.8%61572778.090.0517796
Arsi70+body506.9%9.1%44.2%0.42-0.4612.8%14.0%41.7%0.6-0.039.6%44.2%0.5321443.9%2.3593010.94436.3885.7%100.0%13.8924.4%1685-21.1%-40.7%61359672.750.0396675
Arsi70+body6010.3%9.1%48.9%0.550.1512.1%14.0%40.1%0.6-0.111.2%48.9%0.5920842.3%2.56142465.35447.2684.2%100.0%13.6524.8%1679-22.7%-44.9%51791364.520.0307575
Arsi70+body707.3%9.1%46.0%0.42-0.267.8%14.0%45.1%0.43-0.857.6%46.0%0.4419840.4%1.3928541.48406.8978.8%100.0%12.1722.9%1739-22.8%-40.2%51127445.050.0200439
Arsi60+rng1.08.6%9.1%45.3%0.49-0.2510.8%14.0%42.5%0.56-0.499.7%45.3%0.5425944.8%2.0371388.4447.0291.3%100.0%17.4723.4%924-20.8%-43.9%61580592.010.014881836
Arsi60+rng1.6188.9%9.1%46.2%0.5-0.0313.4%14.0%42.2%0.69-0.0411.1%46.2%0.623342.9%2.23119683.91456.3688.3%100.0%15.6724.5%1572-22.6%-44.8%51834609.620.07981090
Arsi60+rng2.04.6%9.1%50.8%0.31-0.6311.9%14.0%40.7%0.6-0.148.0%50.8%0.4521742.9%1.6147987.89418.7684.4%100.0%13.4325.1%1767-20.9%-48.7%51280011.180.0379637
Arsi60+rng2.6182.5%9.1%55.2%0.22-0.8917.8%14.0%35.2%0.720.689.3%55.2%0.4814239.4%2.1495532.04399.2864.0%100.0%8.5320.4%2404-24.6%-46.8%4935609.240.071230
Arsi60+rng3.02.4%9.1%49.1%0.21-0.9615.2%14.0%32.8%0.690.268.0%49.1%0.468936.0%2.21128758.98366.0749.4%100.0%4.7716.3%2459-25.3%-42.3%5732319.520.014114
Arsi65+rng1.07.4%9.1%44.7%0.43-0.4216.9%14.0%42.1%0.760.6111.7%44.7%0.6124744.5%2.49112479.88456.5990.6%100.0%16.8424.0%1636-23.0%-43.2%51619520.090.09901322
Arsi65+rng1.61810.1%9.1%48.0%0.540.1513.8%14.0%34.5%0.70.0811.9%48.0%0.6321242.9%2.68153022.22460.9786.6%100.0%14.7224.5%1584-26.1%-44.1%51766744.020.0582853
Arsi65+rng2.05.5%9.1%55.5%0.34-0.3720.9%14.0%31.4%0.881.112.3%55.5%0.5919943.2%1.9876836.55437.0983.8%100.0%13.0425.4%1761-23.1%-51.9%41295823.320.0274515
Arsi65+rng2.6181.9%9.1%53.3%0.2-0.9818.6%14.0%30.6%0.780.749.2%53.3%0.4912641.3%2.29109169.12402.0361.0%100.0%7.6819.9%2420-22.7%-46.8%4898588.990.054196
Arsi65+rng3.02.4%9.1%49.1%0.21-0.9515.8%14.0%32.8%0.720.348.3%49.1%0.478337.3%2.29142954.26375.649.3%100.0%4.5716.2%2459-25.3%-42.3%5726500.680.014108
Arsi70+rng1.09.2%9.1%44.1%0.52-0.0811.5%14.0%42.1%0.59-0.2810.3%44.1%0.5722045.0%2.53116830.9438.6685.8%100.0%14.2524.3%1685-21.9%-40.2%61631096.50.0454740
Arsi70+rng1.6185.3%9.1%58.9%0.34-0.5113.7%14.0%34.4%0.710.089.1%58.9%0.5119837.9%2.2977582.71415.3479.9%100.0%12.5424.0%2115-23.9%-44.2%61062370.60.0283528
Arsi70+rng2.02.4%9.1%59.5%0.22-0.9114.4%14.0%35.3%0.690.37.7%59.5%0.4418035.6%1.8551912.56385.1775.3%100.0%10.3223.0%2146-20.1%-43.8%5908612.280.0150359
Arsi70+rng2.6182.0%9.1%44.1%0.2-1.1711.3%14.0%47.2%0.55-0.186.2%47.2%0.411237.5%1.5942315.95386.9755.1%100.0%6.6317.5%1866-27.7%-38.4%4636262.860.027154
Arsi70+rng3.00.8%9.1%45.4%0.13-1.4413.1%14.0%43.2%0.620.056.2%45.4%0.416839.7%2.18105210.92383.7843.6%100.0%3.7914.3%1866-24.7%-39.2%5520118.60.0985
Abody50+rng1.06.6%9.1%45.8%0.4-0.5910.3%14.0%46.4%0.52-0.448.3%46.4%0.4827242.3%1.9757412.26426.4291.3%100.0%17.2923.5%1598-21.1%-44.6%61348277.210.013981751
Abody50+rng1.6188.5%9.1%46.5%0.49-0.0912.4%14.0%42.0%0.63-0.1410.4%46.5%0.5723441.9%2.09105590.86446.9888.0%100.0%15.4424.9%1586-22.6%-44.9%61734084.390.07481037
Abody50+rng2.06.5%9.1%51.0%0.38-0.3413.8%14.0%35.5%0.690.179.9%51.0%0.5321045.2%1.9783371.13437.7785.6%100.0%13.7525.3%1688-20.9%-48.7%51516808.630.0353605
Abody50+rng2.6183.4%9.1%51.5%0.26-0.7917.3%14.0%32.3%0.750.599.5%51.5%0.513739.4%2.23121899.4387.9162.1%100.0%7.8220.7%2402-23.7%-45.7%41053894.050.064214
Abody50+rng3.04.0%9.1%48.2%0.29-0.7813.0%14.0%29.5%0.66-0.18.0%48.2%0.488235.4%2.27144227.37354.6147.3%100.0%4.2116.4%2465-21.0%-41.7%5776414.360.015106
Abody60+rng1.05.4%9.1%48.3%0.34-0.6711.8%14.0%44.5%0.61-0.238.3%48.3%0.4826942.4%2.054402.89428.4390.6%100.0%17.1524.1%1633-26.6%-47.5%51257930.080.011421483
Abody60+rng1.6188.4%9.1%45.7%0.49-0.1214.5%14.0%44.0%0.720.2211.3%45.7%0.6122845.6%2.23120355.1453.2988.1%100.0%15.3924.7%1583-23.6%-44.1%61801356.960.0605882
Abody60+rng2.06.2%9.1%51.5%0.37-0.3716.5%14.0%38.2%0.780.5310.8%51.5%0.5620345.3%2.12106288.04444.1385.2%100.0%13.225.7%1685-20.1%-49.4%51627957.390.0290524
Abody60+rng2.6183.3%9.1%51.9%0.25-0.8219.0%14.0%30.3%0.820.7810.1%51.9%0.5313237.9%2.6147566.74381.6160.9%100.0%7.520.3%2291-20.5%-46.5%41052144.650.045188
Abody60+rng3.04.7%9.1%47.8%0.33-0.7113.5%14.0%24.6%0.75-0.058.7%47.8%0.537538.7%2.71188208.09372.646.4%100.0%4.0616.1%2144-19.9%-41.4%5786821.710.0991
Abody70+rng1.03.6%9.1%47.3%0.26-0.9815.0%14.0%38.9%0.760.248.7%47.3%0.525444.9%1.9161274.79424.4589.5%100.0%15.9423.8%1649-25.6%-44.2%51284487.910.08071115
Abody70+rng1.6187.6%9.1%45.9%0.44-0.1911.9%14.0%49.2%0.61-0.239.7%49.2%0.5321845.0%1.8681166.03437.6484.7%100.0%14.1324.4%1633-24.0%-42.5%51596870.490.0405663
Abody70+rng2.05.8%9.1%53.7%0.35-0.3420.2%14.0%37.5%0.891.0812.2%53.7%0.5918047.2%1.92104888.99444.7283.2%100.0%11.9325.1%1846-19.6%-49.6%51620168.390.0199405
Abody70+rng2.6183.8%9.1%52.0%0.28-0.8211.0%14.0%28.9%0.57-0.477.1%52.0%0.4312142.1%1.7256455.46401.6255.8%100.0%7.2818.7%2285-20.2%-45.5%4846061.610.020150
Abody70+rng3.06.0%9.1%46.8%0.41-0.564.1%14.0%27.9%0.31-1.595.3%46.8%0.396639.4%1.4552500.7369.2139.6%100.0%3.5413.9%1865-18.2%-40.3%3610744.750.0172
Arsi60+body50+rng1.06.7%9.1%45.8%0.41-0.588.9%14.0%50.3%0.47-0.847.8%50.3%0.4626043.5%1.7848799.29442.5591.0%100.0%17.1823.9%1517-20.8%-44.6%61307570.680.012381576
Arsi60+body50+rng2.04.6%9.1%50.7%0.31-0.6214.3%14.0%38.6%0.670.258.9%50.7%0.4821243.9%1.6755237.58428.5584.6%100.0%13.3325.4%1767-20.9%-48.6%51311019.060.0323575
Arsi60+body50+rng3.02.5%9.1%49.1%0.22-0.9513.0%14.0%29.5%0.66-0.17.2%49.1%0.438134.6%2.13116635.29352.5447.0%100.0%4.1416.2%2470-20.7%-42.3%5678970.070.014104
Arsi60+body60+rng1.05.5%9.1%48.7%0.35-0.6910.3%14.0%45.2%0.55-0.557.8%48.7%0.4626341.4%1.7742466.04432.5389.8%100.0%16.9323.9%1601-23.2%-48.1%51199872.690.010111344
Arsi60+body60+rng2.06.3%9.1%51.5%0.38-0.3518.6%14.0%37.6%0.810.8211.8%51.5%0.5819845.5%1.9693716.84445.2584.1%100.0%12.8325.6%1686-20.1%-49.4%51495570.60.0275503
Arsi60+body60+rng3.03.2%9.1%49.3%0.25-0.8813.5%14.0%24.6%0.75-0.057.8%49.3%0.487537.3%2.52150839.86371.046.0%100.0%4.0416.0%2148-17.6%-42.9%5683874.940.0789
Arsi60+body70+rng1.01.9%9.1%47.4%0.18-1.237.6%14.0%49.0%0.43-1.274.6%49.0%0.3125442.9%1.2614138.4416.1988.9%100.0%15.6323.9%1754-25.6%-44.4%7987661.890.07131020
Arsi60+body70+rng2.05.7%9.1%53.7%0.35-0.3521.0%14.0%37.0%0.851.1212.5%53.7%0.5817642.6%1.8989424.7430.7381.6%100.0%11.3325.1%1848-19.6%-49.6%51449341.470.0192391
Arsi60+body70+rng3.04.5%9.1%48.7%0.32-0.734.1%14.0%27.9%0.31-1.594.4%48.7%0.336538.5%1.3133066.69369.2839.2%100.0%3.4913.7%1866-18.0%-42.7%3529370.440.0171
Arsi65+body50+rng1.07.0%9.1%45.4%0.42-0.4912.4%14.0%43.1%0.61-0.259.5%45.4%0.5324343.6%2.1473603.17448.2190.4%100.0%16.2924.5%1602-23.0%-44.1%61356261.990.08481165
Arsi65+body50+rng2.06.8%9.1%55.3%0.39-0.1918.6%14.0%31.3%0.840.8712.1%55.3%0.5918842.0%2.0689556.5425.6784.0%100.0%11.9125.6%1688-23.1%-51.8%51371739.020.0250475
Arsi65+body50+rng3.02.6%9.1%49.1%0.22-0.9413.2%14.0%29.5%0.67-0.067.3%49.1%0.447935.4%2.21124629.32358.8446.8%100.0%4.1816.2%2465-20.7%-42.3%5680124.390.0998
Arsi65+body60+rng1.07.5%9.1%49.6%0.43-0.3413.5%14.0%39.8%0.67-0.0610.3%49.6%0.5723943.1%2.1983496.77432.8589.4%100.0%15.3624.3%1636-24.7%-47.8%41514676.330.0696998
Arsi65+body60+rng2.07.8%9.1%56.1%0.42-0.0318.6%14.0%31.4%0.870.8212.7%56.1%0.6118041.1%2.15108935.77427.1983.1%100.0%11.4625.3%1685-21.8%-52.6%51531407.190.0208416
Arsi65+body60+rng3.03.3%9.1%49.3%0.26-0.8713.7%14.0%23.9%0.76-0.027.9%49.3%0.487139.4%2.62164717.46382.4645.7%100.0%3.9415.9%2148-17.6%-42.9%5684416.880.0684
Arsi65+body70+rng1.09.0%9.1%47.6%0.49-0.0513.6%14.0%44.5%0.630.1211.2%47.6%0.5822646.9%2.13119506.14435.5487.2%100.0%14.5924.4%1600-27.1%-43.8%51877079.890.0487763
Arsi65+body70+rng2.07.1%9.1%55.7%0.39-0.1119.2%14.0%33.3%0.780.8712.5%55.7%0.5816741.9%1.9190941.34420.3479.4%100.0%10.5124.8%1784-21.1%-51.1%51447419.450.0139328
Arsi65+body70+rng3.04.5%9.1%48.7%0.32-0.724.1%14.0%27.9%0.31-1.594.4%48.7%0.336439.1%1.3134191.85373.1239.0%100.0%3.4713.6%1866-18.0%-42.7%5527004.290.0170
Arsi70+body50+rng1.08.5%9.1%44.2%0.49-0.1912.4%14.0%43.4%0.58-0.0810.4%44.2%0.5621344.6%2.54112967.85442.4985.0%100.0%13.8324.4%1681-21.1%-40.7%61518996.020.0381658
Arsi70+body50+rng2.02.3%9.1%58.6%0.21-0.9215.4%14.0%31.7%0.730.438.1%58.6%0.4617436.8%1.7745834.06388.1674.8%100.0%10.1823.4%2152-20.1%-43.9%4822940.790.0127329
Arsi70+body50+rng3.00.4%9.1%45.4%0.11-1.516.9%14.0%27.4%0.43-0.963.4%45.4%0.286634.8%1.2320038.02358.1739.5%100.0%3.5113.7%1866-22.7%-39.2%5411515.810.0479
Arsi70+body60+rng1.011.3%9.1%48.9%0.590.2811.3%14.0%41.1%0.57-0.2311.4%48.9%0.620844.7%2.55147015.86450.3583.2%100.0%13.7424.6%1678-22.7%-44.9%51864260.870.0296562
Arsi70+body60+rng2.05.3%9.1%54.7%0.34-0.5215.3%14.0%30.9%0.740.389.8%54.7%0.5317038.8%2.1177456.26404.8974.1%100.0%10.1923.4%1820-17.9%-43.9%51028490.970.096287
Arsi70+body60+rng3.00.0%9.1%42.8%0.08-1.555.1%14.0%24.2%0.37-1.42.4%42.8%0.235733.3%0.98-1886.79361.7936.0%100.0%3.0312.6%2276-20.6%-36.6%5348858.320.0568
Arsi70+body70+rng1.07.5%9.1%46.0%0.43-0.227.6%14.0%44.8%0.43-0.917.7%46.0%0.4519840.4%1.3929113.64404.2378.5%100.0%12.0922.8%1732-22.8%-40.2%51143003.140.0194430
Arsi70+body70+rng2.05.9%9.1%50.5%0.36-0.4314.9%14.0%34.0%0.690.39.9%50.5%0.5313836.2%1.5652898.41404.8268.1%100.0%8.4621.8%1841-23.0%-39.1%41017595.90.074227
Arsi70+body70+rng3.01.2%9.1%37.2%0.16-1.374.4%14.0%26.9%0.34-1.532.8%37.2%0.265234.6%0.99-1458.43358.5233.1%100.0%2.7411.6%1841-18.9%-32.0%5350141.680.0359
Bexit base8.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Bexit sma-only8.0%9.1%51.9%0.45-0.3212.4%14.0%35.4%0.64-0.2510.0%51.9%0.5624841.9%2.5680026.88487.494.0%100.0%18.0522.3%1581-23.0%-49.7%51278075.070.019022251
Bexit st-only6.0%9.1%54.8%0.36-0.6612.6%14.0%43.8%0.65-0.099.0%54.8%0.520442.2%2.4982495.39581.3794.6%100.0%17.9222.5%1632-20.8%-53.6%4935063.650.019272251
BATR intramonth + base k1.06.1%9.1%38.0%0.38-0.597.0%14.0%31.6%0.45-1.276.5%38.0%0.4272238.1%1.3114222.05128.4267.2%100.0%11.7215.9%946-14.4%-21.4%44363504.631782039.114872251
BATR intramonth + base k1.53.5%9.1%32.6%0.25-1.011.8%14.0%34.9%0.65-0.47.2%34.9%0.4441442.0%1.6230330.14263.7181.6%100.0%15.1219.6%884-17.2%-29.8%42032678.861623855.4517622251
BATR intramonth + base k2.07.7%9.1%40.3%0.45-0.3512.3%14.0%33.7%0.69-0.39.9%40.3%0.5731344.4%1.9555188.88364.4387.0%100.0%16.7221.0%872-19.6%-36.4%41770984.92396862.0618432251
BATR intramonth + base k2.58.7%9.1%46.0%0.48-0.211.6%14.0%40.6%0.62-0.2310.0%46.0%0.5529342.3%2.0968448.62389.5389.2%100.0%17.022.4%943-22.3%-42.6%51664871.022520433.0318642251
BATR intramonth + base k3.08.2%9.1%46.2%0.46-0.2411.1%14.0%43.6%0.61-0.429.5%46.2%0.5327442.3%2.1464924.22425.3590.7%100.0%17.3522.8%942-24.8%-45.7%61407559.561385566.3118792251
BATR intramonth only k1.05.3%9.1%41.0%0.33-0.716.0%14.0%32.1%0.39-1.465.6%41.0%0.3768938.8%1.2711387.15137.8268.4%100.0%12.0916.1%1149-13.6%-22.4%43759689.421654506.0515152251
BATR intramonth only k1.54.8%9.1%37.5%0.31-0.858.7%14.0%42.0%0.52-1.266.6%42.0%0.4222248.2%2.249450.03498.0685.9%100.0%16.7220.6%1204-20.9%-35.0%4990196.991342986.6619282251
BATR intramonth only k2.06.6%9.1%50.6%0.37-0.526.5%14.0%42.6%0.39-1.876.5%50.6%0.399051.1%2.0155331.56814.2191.7%100.0%18.3221.9%1325-23.0%-47.2%5438681.53805740.920412251
BATR intramonth only k2.56.4%9.1%59.2%0.36-0.678.1%14.0%51.2%0.45-1.287.2%59.2%0.414045.0%1.5429795.91255.8897.2%100.0%19.3324.5%1259-23.3%-54.6%5169036.95585786.7620922251
BATR intramonth only k3.06.1%9.1%63.4%0.34-0.518.1%14.0%48.7%0.5-1.437.0%63.4%0.392548.0%2.2167751.211906.6496.3%100.0%19.6227.6%1582-27.4%-56.0%7123225.841045622.1121082251
BATR month-end + base k1.010.0%9.1%38.2%0.55-0.0116.1%14.0%35.0%0.810.512.8%38.2%0.6938147.2%2.56116216.95307.4989.9%100.0%17.0421.7%892-21.6%-37.8%43432731.950.017872251
BATR month-end + base k1.59.2%9.1%40.2%0.52-0.1414.5%14.0%39.6%0.760.2811.6%40.2%0.6430645.1%2.7109779.19393.2890.8%100.0%17.3622.8%940-21.8%-39.4%42125531.620.018472251
BATR month-end + base k2.09.4%9.1%45.7%0.52-0.112.6%14.0%45.3%0.66-0.0610.9%45.7%0.5927742.6%2.3986918.76421.2991.4%100.0%17.4923.1%931-21.0%-44.3%61638369.830.018732251
BATR month-end + base k2.58.0%9.1%50.6%0.45-0.3110.8%14.0%45.8%0.58-0.429.3%50.6%0.5227441.2%2.1864762.98429.4792.0%100.0%17.6323.3%1639-20.8%-49.3%41397270.990.018772251
BATR month-end + base k3.08.0%9.1%50.6%0.45-0.310.0%14.0%45.9%0.56-0.638.9%50.6%0.5126741.6%2.0255648.92440.2892.1%100.0%17.7423.3%1639-20.8%-49.2%41321739.540.018832251
BATR month-end only k1.010.4%9.1%41.8%0.560.0618.4%14.0%28.2%0.980.8914.0%41.8%0.7625752.5%3.6214913.09453.2392.7%100.0%17.9822.7%884-20.8%-39.9%42801723.130.018822251
BATR month-end only k1.59.6%9.1%53.0%0.50.0412.2%14.0%42.9%0.68-0.4410.8%53.0%0.588052.5%5.14256931.581040.294.5%100.0%19.0523.5%787-22.6%-51.1%5622677.940.020422251
BATR month-end only k2.06.2%9.1%63.9%0.35-0.729.6%14.0%39.2%0.61-1.047.7%63.9%0.443836.8%1.9851841.441646.2197.5%100.0%19.6825.4%698-22.8%-57.3%5161520.440.020962251
BATR month-end only k2.55.7%9.1%67.2%0.32-0.4310.4%14.0%51.4%0.6-0.867.8%67.2%0.421833.3%1.4332717.052214.6794.9%100.0%19.8829.2%882-28.8%-61.5%590916.40.021152251
BATR month-end only k3.05.2%9.1%67.5%0.31-0.4812.3%14.0%46.6%0.72-0.468.4%67.5%0.441225.0%1.5153155.652785.094.2%100.0%19.9229.5%699-29.8%-61.1%570235.810.021232251
Cpwx T100 share758.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Cpwx T100 share508.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Cpwx T50 share758.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Cpwx T50 share508.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Cpwx T30 share756.1%9.1%50.7%0.36-0.5811.0%14.0%45.9%0.58-0.428.3%50.7%0.4728842.4%1.9747436.18406.7490.8%100.0%17.4723.0%1729-20.8%-49.3%51325478.530.018722251
Cpwx T30 share506.1%9.1%50.7%0.36-0.5811.0%14.0%45.9%0.58-0.428.3%50.7%0.4728842.4%1.9747436.18406.7490.8%100.0%17.4723.0%1729-20.8%-49.3%51325478.530.018722251
Cpwx T20 share7510.4%9.1%43.3%0.570.0411.5%14.0%45.9%0.56-0.2210.9%45.9%0.5832145.2%2.2883112.46353.0687.2%100.0%16.6821.4%1029-20.8%-28.9%52447899.220.018582251
Cpwx T20 share5010.4%9.1%43.3%0.570.0411.5%14.0%45.9%0.56-0.2210.9%45.9%0.5832145.2%2.2883112.46353.0687.2%100.0%16.6821.4%1029-20.8%-28.9%52447899.220.018582251
Cpwx T10 share754.4%9.1%58.8%0.28-0.788.5%14.0%42.6%0.49-1.086.3%58.8%0.3835943.7%1.5723602.8304.0785.7%100.0%16.0822.1%1734-27.6%-55.7%41434386.080.018322251
Cpwx T10 share5013.4%9.1%26.7%0.730.4110.8%14.0%42.6%0.59-0.5612.2%42.6%0.6840754.8%2.0283630.08244.8479.6%100.0%14.7620.2%747-19.4%-25.4%44179344.980.017952251
Dsize EQ N10 cap54.0%9.1%35.5%0.35-1.179.1%14.0%28.4%0.7-1.226.3%35.5%0.5314542.8%1.9743776.67421.6256.2%77.0%9.214.2%1642-15.9%-35.0%4586658.230.020572251
Dsize EQ N10 cap103.7%9.1%51.9%0.26-1.0411.3%14.0%44.5%0.62-0.47.1%51.9%0.4314641.8%1.8862589.94416.8691.3%100.0%9.1622.6%1733-23.6%-51.5%5956315.960.020572251
Dsize EQ N10 cap153.7%9.1%51.9%0.26-1.0411.3%14.0%44.5%0.62-0.47.1%51.9%0.4314641.8%1.8862589.94416.8691.3%100.0%9.1622.6%1733-23.6%-51.5%5956315.960.020572251
Dsize EQ N20 cap55.6%9.1%45.8%0.37-0.7310.7%14.0%47.5%0.6-0.588.0%47.5%0.4927639.1%1.8238907.71422.289.9%100.0%17.5922.7%1699-21.5%-43.7%41083062.790.018782251
Dsize EQ N20 cap105.6%9.1%45.8%0.37-0.7310.7%14.0%47.5%0.6-0.588.0%47.5%0.4927639.1%1.8238907.71422.289.9%100.0%17.5922.7%1699-21.5%-43.7%41083062.790.018782251
Dsize EQ N20 cap155.6%9.1%45.8%0.37-0.7310.7%14.0%47.5%0.6-0.588.0%47.5%0.4927639.1%1.8238907.71422.289.9%100.0%17.5922.7%1699-21.5%-43.7%41083062.790.018782251
Dsize EQ N30 cap57.7%9.1%46.4%0.46-0.3612.5%14.0%39.7%0.7-0.239.9%46.4%0.5838842.3%2.3551441.99436.6688.5%100.0%25.2122.4%1632-21.1%-43.2%41349962.740.017212251
Dsize EQ N30 cap107.7%9.1%46.4%0.46-0.3612.5%14.0%39.7%0.7-0.239.9%46.4%0.5838842.3%2.3551441.99436.6688.5%100.0%25.2122.4%1632-21.1%-43.2%41349962.740.017212251
Dsize EQ N30 cap157.7%9.1%46.4%0.46-0.3612.5%14.0%39.7%0.7-0.239.9%46.4%0.5838842.3%2.3551441.99436.6688.5%100.0%25.2122.4%1632-21.1%-43.2%41349962.740.017212251
Dsize EQ N50 cap58.9%9.1%42.7%0.57-0.2114.6%14.0%39.4%0.780.2211.5%42.7%0.6858445.4%2.6247229.83457.8684.0%100.0%39.721.0%1583-21.7%-39.9%41651732.610.014472251
Dsize EQ N50 cap108.9%9.1%42.7%0.57-0.2114.6%14.0%39.4%0.780.2211.5%42.7%0.6858445.4%2.6247229.83457.8684.0%100.0%39.721.0%1583-21.7%-39.9%41651732.610.014472251
Dsize EQ N50 cap158.9%9.1%42.7%0.57-0.2114.6%14.0%39.4%0.780.2211.5%42.7%0.6858445.4%2.6247229.83457.8684.0%100.0%39.721.0%1583-21.7%-39.9%41651732.610.014472251
Dsize FILL N10 cap54.0%9.1%35.5%0.35-1.179.1%14.0%28.4%0.7-1.226.3%35.5%0.5314542.8%1.9743776.67421.6256.2%77.0%9.214.2%1642-15.9%-35.0%4586658.230.020572251
Dsize FILL N10 cap103.7%9.1%49.7%0.26-1.0812.3%14.0%47.3%0.63-0.157.5%49.7%0.4414542.8%1.9975312.51421.6291.5%100.0%9.223.0%1695-22.1%-49.2%4993023.690.020572251
Dsize FILL N10 cap152.0%9.1%45.9%0.16-1.3613.7%14.0%48.2%0.690.17.1%48.2%0.4214641.1%1.9466850.11415.7893.0%100.0%9.1423.2%1658-21.3%-44.9%4896043.00.020572251
Dsize FILL N20 cap57.0%9.1%45.6%0.44-0.499.9%14.0%49.5%0.56-0.768.4%49.5%0.5127639.9%1.8642948.26429.3989.9%100.0%17.8922.7%1685-21.6%-43.5%41174089.230.018762251
Dsize FILL N20 cap108.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.39.9%14.0%45.9%0.54-0.578.9%50.7%0.527442.0%2.0760296.19434.9392.0%100.0%17.7123.5%1639-20.8%-49.3%41374493.620.018792251
Dsize FILL N20 cap154.7%9.1%49.9%0.29-0.839.4%14.0%49.2%0.49-0.676.8%49.9%0.427041.1%1.7136012.96423.1192.9%100.0%17.1523.5%1027-21.0%-47.7%61147774.690.018882251
Dsize FILL N30 cap57.4%9.1%45.0%0.45-0.419.7%14.0%43.7%0.54-0.768.5%45.0%0.5140142.1%1.8534237.62433.6790.2%100.0%25.8622.5%1642-21.6%-43.3%51377199.950.017122251
Dsize FILL N30 cap107.5%9.1%50.1%0.43-0.399.4%14.0%44.0%0.52-0.718.4%50.1%0.4840041.8%1.8634400.3432.6392.2%100.0%25.7223.1%1640-20.8%-48.9%61390130.310.017142251
Dsize FILL N30 cap154.8%9.1%49.5%0.29-0.8211.1%14.0%46.6%0.56-0.327.6%49.5%0.4338941.9%1.8531391.2432.9793.0%100.0%24.923.5%1000-20.1%-47.4%61227979.290.017292251
Dsize FILL N50 cap57.8%9.1%45.9%0.47-0.3313.8%14.0%36.8%0.720.1110.6%45.9%0.659444.1%2.3640136.15443.1390.3%100.0%39.1322.6%1643-21.6%-44.2%51619612.190.014472251
Dsize FILL N50 cap106.1%9.1%51.4%0.36-0.612.8%14.0%37.8%0.66-0.049.1%51.4%0.5159543.2%2.0428887.5442.5692.5%100.0%39.023.3%1689-20.8%-50.3%41461661.890.014482251
Dsize FILL N50 cap154.4%9.1%48.3%0.27-0.8912.9%14.0%39.2%0.63-0.018.2%48.3%0.4558442.8%1.9524026.44434.5193.1%100.0%37.7123.5%1001-20.1%-47.3%51335509.650.014622251
Dsize RISK N10 cap54.5%9.1%25.1%0.51-1.087.8%14.0%24.4%0.73-1.66.0%25.1%0.6314542.8%1.9934850.06421.6245.5%65.8%9.210.9%771-12.5%-24.5%3473432.590.020572251
Dsize RISK N10 cap103.6%9.1%28.3%0.4-1.237.9%14.0%26.9%0.69-1.615.5%28.3%0.5514542.8%1.7929714.5421.6249.6%77.1%9.211.4%1598-15.0%-27.7%4499054.960.020572251
Dsize RISK N10 cap152.9%9.1%31.2%0.32-1.357.9%14.0%27.0%0.69-1.615.1%31.2%0.5114542.8%1.6625080.24421.6250.5%81.1%9.211.4%1685-15.0%-30.7%3487005.350.020572251
Dsize RISK N20 cap56.7%9.1%42.0%0.47-0.679.3%14.0%45.6%0.56-1.067.9%45.6%0.5327739.4%1.8136392.33426.9582.5%100.0%17.8519.4%1642-23.2%-39.3%41055709.740.018762251
Dsize RISK N20 cap105.3%9.1%45.0%0.39-0.919.3%14.0%45.0%0.56-0.997.1%45.0%0.4827439.8%1.728849.42427.484.2%100.0%17.6919.3%1701-21.0%-42.4%3980205.840.018782251
Dsize RISK N20 cap154.6%9.1%47.7%0.35-1.09.9%14.0%44.0%0.58-0.857.0%47.7%0.4726740.1%1.7329152.17434.8384.2%100.0%17.5519.2%1737-24.2%-45.2%4930031.410.018852251
Dsize RISK N30 cap56.4%9.1%47.0%0.41-0.6210.5%14.0%43.6%0.61-0.718.3%47.0%0.5237940.9%1.9732293.27429.189.4%100.0%24.2421.5%1649-23.6%-43.9%41129917.260.017412251
Dsize RISK N30 cap104.8%9.1%50.2%0.33-0.910.6%14.0%42.8%0.62-0.697.4%50.2%0.4736540.0%1.8625598.03428.490.2%100.0%23.3121.0%1732-23.3%-47.3%4992508.010.017602251
Dsize RISK N30 cap154.3%9.1%52.0%0.31-0.9610.1%14.0%43.2%0.6-0.766.9%52.0%0.4436041.4%1.7622071.96429.7690.2%100.0%23.0620.7%1752-23.8%-49.4%4951688.860.017702251
Dsize RISK N50 cap56.3%9.1%47.0%0.41-0.6410.7%14.0%43.4%0.62-0.658.3%47.0%0.5242737.7%1.9728905.21422.2689.6%100.0%26.7421.5%1688-23.7%-43.9%41134942.720.016812251
Dsize RISK N50 cap105.2%9.1%49.5%0.36-0.8210.3%14.0%43.0%0.61-0.777.5%49.5%0.4841038.8%1.8623454.72426.3490.1%100.0%25.9420.9%1700-23.3%-46.7%41030728.340.017032251
Dsize RISK N50 cap154.3%9.1%52.0%0.31-0.959.5%14.0%44.2%0.57-0.976.6%52.0%0.4340140.4%1.718320.35431.1990.2%100.0%25.7820.7%1750-24.4%-49.4%4944730.010.017082251
Dsize RISKFILL N10 cap54.0%9.1%35.5%0.35-1.179.1%14.0%28.4%0.7-1.226.3%35.5%0.5314542.8%1.9743776.67421.6256.2%77.0%9.214.2%1642-15.9%-35.0%4586658.230.020572251
Dsize RISKFILL N10 cap103.7%9.1%49.3%0.26-1.0812.3%14.0%46.5%0.64-0.177.5%49.3%0.4514542.8%2.074777.59421.6291.5%100.0%9.222.8%1695-22.0%-48.8%4980498.020.020572251
Dsize RISKFILL N10 cap152.6%9.1%45.7%0.19-1.2412.3%14.0%46.1%0.65-0.196.9%46.1%0.4114243.0%1.8760552.32427.7692.8%100.0%9.1522.3%1152-22.3%-43.5%4871340.080.020592251
Dsize RISKFILL N20 cap56.7%9.1%45.2%0.42-0.5510.5%14.0%47.8%0.58-0.668.4%47.8%0.5127539.6%1.8743745.19426.6190.0%100.0%17.7222.4%1691-21.5%-43.3%41173866.320.018762251
Dsize RISKFILL N20 cap103.5%9.1%50.2%0.25-1.0811.4%14.0%46.8%0.6-0.47.0%50.2%0.4225839.1%1.7832903.0409.2292.4%100.0%16.3122.2%1694-21.2%-48.1%6993223.980.019012251
Dsize RISKFILL N20 cap152.4%9.1%47.8%0.19-1.2811.5%14.0%47.4%0.6-0.276.4%47.8%0.3926038.8%1.7531308.48401.4192.9%100.0%15.9422.1%1000-22.8%-45.9%7981251.560.019062251
Dsize RISKFILL N30 cap55.8%9.1%45.3%0.38-0.710.2%14.0%47.1%0.57-0.727.9%47.1%0.4836340.2%1.8129386.07424.2190.2%100.0%22.9422.1%1691-22.1%-43.3%61139004.490.017662251
Dsize RISKFILL N30 cap104.0%9.1%49.9%0.27-1.0111.8%14.0%43.8%0.65-0.297.5%49.9%0.4532439.5%1.9632514.61412.7692.5%100.0%20.022.5%1690-20.9%-48.3%41054542.00.018172251
Dsize RISKFILL N30 cap152.0%9.1%47.2%0.17-1.3612.1%14.0%47.1%0.63-0.176.4%47.2%0.3931137.9%1.7626449.77401.2992.9%100.0%18.6922.1%1037-21.3%-45.9%6969856.80.018462251
Dsize RISKFILL N50 cap56.2%9.1%45.3%0.4-0.6212.2%14.0%45.3%0.65-0.259.0%45.3%0.5339438.3%2.0537785.8416.9290.4%100.0%24.6222.1%1688-21.5%-43.3%51253032.650.017212251
Dsize RISKFILL N50 cap104.0%9.1%49.9%0.27-1.0112.8%14.0%44.9%0.67-0.057.9%49.9%0.4636036.7%2.0533767.12407.3592.3%100.0%22.2522.3%1690-20.9%-48.3%41083380.870.017722251
Dsize RISKFILL N50 cap152.0%9.1%47.2%0.17-1.3612.1%14.0%47.1%0.63-0.176.4%47.2%0.3932937.1%1.7625012.16403.8992.9%100.0%20.1122.1%1037-21.3%-45.9%6970470.260.018172251
Dsize RISK risk0.5% N20 cap105.3%9.1%28.3%0.55-0.956.0%14.0%30.9%0.53-2.285.6%30.9%0.5627639.9%1.6215621.93429.3954.0%80.7%17.8911.3%1581-17.6%-26.1%4595926.280.018762251
Dsize RISK risk1.0% N20 cap105.3%9.1%45.0%0.39-0.919.3%14.0%45.0%0.56-0.997.1%45.0%0.4827439.8%1.728849.42427.484.2%100.0%17.6919.3%1701-21.0%-42.4%3980205.840.018782251
Dsize RISK risk1.5% N20 cap103.8%9.1%48.9%0.28-1.0811.3%14.0%45.5%0.62-0.477.2%48.9%0.4526539.6%1.831809.52415.8391.1%100.0%16.5121.4%2280-23.7%-47.0%4949668.110.019002251
Dsize RISKFILL risk0.5% N20 cap104.9%9.1%50.0%0.31-0.879.2%14.0%45.5%0.52-0.796.9%50.0%0.4227538.5%1.6429545.72414.9192.3%100.0%17.2722.0%1694-20.6%-48.1%41097793.610.018752251
Dsize RISKFILL risk1.0% N20 cap103.5%9.1%50.2%0.25-1.0811.4%14.0%46.8%0.6-0.47.0%50.2%0.4225839.1%1.7832903.0409.2292.4%100.0%16.3122.2%1694-21.2%-48.1%6993223.980.019012251
Dsize RISKFILL risk1.5% N20 cap103.0%9.1%49.2%0.23-1.2112.7%14.0%45.8%0.67-0.17.3%49.2%0.4424740.5%1.9137640.55410.3392.2%100.0%15.4122.1%1732-21.2%-48.0%5953729.030.019232251
Dsector cap 25%6.6%9.1%50.2%0.38-0.546.9%14.0%44.2%0.42-1.336.8%50.2%0.4128140.6%1.6532408.89426.4891.4%100.0%17.7523.0%1694-20.8%-48.9%41175972.280.018732251
Dsector cap 35%8.0%9.1%50.7%0.45-0.36.5%14.0%45.9%0.4-1.367.4%50.7%0.4427840.6%1.737988.91428.0392.0%100.0%17.7523.1%1639-20.8%-49.3%41278708.880.018752251
Ddrawdown control 15%1.1%9.1%38.3%0.12-1.4911.8%14.0%29.9%0.79-0.315.8%38.3%0.4511339.8%1.9236205.9358.5535.5%100.0%6.598.9%2408-23.7%-35.5%4388845.70.021132251
Ddrawdown control 20%2.2%9.1%36.4%0.2-1.322.2%14.0%33.2%0.17-2.312.4%36.4%0.248035.0%0.97-1703.53388.7823.0%100.0%4.375.9%2090-20.8%-34.0%5277923.140.021582251
Dregime sma10 entry12.6%9.1%43.3%0.640.414.8%14.0%34.8%0.830.113.7%43.3%0.7423647.0%3.23193697.95468.5684.9%100.0%16.4121.1%869-20.8%-34.8%42154936.10.019262251
Dregime sma10 exit13.3%9.1%43.3%0.70.4115.5%14.0%42.6%0.930.3414.3%43.3%0.7938249.2%3.34157834.52233.8468.8%100.0%12.8117.2%795-20.8%-33.8%44365316.810.018252251
Dregime sma20 entry7.0%9.1%50.7%0.4-0.4515.1%14.0%45.5%0.730.3610.6%50.7%0.5725044.8%2.4590663.6437.6886.3%100.0%16.421.2%1558-23.2%-49.3%51477619.840.019182251
Dregime sma20 exit11.9%9.1%43.9%0.610.2914.3%14.0%41.0%0.730.0613.0%43.9%0.6833049.4%2.89145332.11293.3975.5%100.0%13.8819.2%852-20.8%-41.4%43673918.930.018682251
Ersi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.015.6%9.1%30.2%0.80.7912.0%14.0%38.4%0.63-0.1914.1%38.4%0.7423346.4%2.63235396.04356.3677.8%100.0%12.2922.6%873-22.7%-22.3%53677175.410.0281562
Ersi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.015.6%9.1%30.2%0.80.7813.8%14.0%36.8%0.720.0814.9%36.8%0.7827044.1%2.43236861.08283.3774.7%100.0%10.9921.7%823-22.7%-23.6%54798216.480.0246562
Ersi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.515.8%9.1%34.1%0.80.8613.8%14.0%37.9%0.730.1215.0%37.9%0.7822544.0%2.88254508.3379.1280.0%100.0%12.5223.3%881-22.7%-28.6%43336116.20.0283562
Ersi70+body60 | ATR month-end only k1.015.1%9.1%30.2%0.780.7412.4%14.0%37.8%0.63-0.0814.0%37.8%0.7223445.3%2.76229457.39362.2178.9%100.0%12.6322.7%881-22.7%-22.3%53446856.320.0294575
Ersi70+body60 | ATR month-end + base k1.015.1%9.1%30.2%0.770.7114.6%14.0%36.8%0.770.2215.0%36.8%0.7927543.3%2.6233476.98280.6475.5%100.0%11.1721.6%823-22.7%-23.6%54550282.810.0251575
Ersi70+body60 | ATR month-end + base k1.514.8%9.1%34.1%0.760.7313.8%14.0%38.2%0.730.1314.5%38.2%0.7622642.5%2.83232434.02373.8180.7%100.0%12.4723.4%884-22.7%-28.6%43129553.780.0292575
Ersi65+rng1.618 | ATR month-end only k1.012.8%9.1%35.4%0.660.513.9%14.0%32.8%0.74-0.0413.4%35.4%0.7226847.0%3.49199753.19379.5784.3%100.0%14.6823.2%1211-26.1%-29.8%53152381.250.0539853
Ersi65+rng1.618 | ATR month-end + base k1.014.9%9.1%35.4%0.740.7514.2%14.0%34.1%0.750.0614.7%35.4%0.7731242.9%2.64200496.18290.8480.9%100.0%13.0822.6%841-26.1%-28.2%54619174.590.0496853
Ersi65+rng1.618 | ATR month-end + base k1.514.2%9.1%35.4%0.730.6612.2%14.0%38.5%0.66-0.2313.5%38.5%0.7224844.8%2.67192173.14394.6683.4%100.0%14.4223.9%1183-26.1%-29.7%42871713.010.0546853
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + no regime15.6%9.1%30.2%0.80.7813.8%14.0%36.8%0.720.0814.9%36.8%0.7827044.1%2.43236861.08283.3774.7%100.0%10.9921.7%823-22.7%-23.6%54798216.480.0246562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry17.1%9.1%30.2%0.870.9414.6%14.0%35.2%0.820.2316.0%35.2%0.8525246.0%3.17300377.76291.6270.3%100.0%10.5620.4%788-22.7%-21.6%54617148.90.0264562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 exit13.4%9.1%30.2%0.730.4314.3%14.0%28.7%0.870.1313.8%30.2%0.7829747.1%2.59163352.07185.7651.6%100.0%7.915.3%882-22.7%-21.5%54876772.30.0239562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + EQ N50 cap10 + no regime5.7%9.1%25.5%0.56-0.7910.0%14.0%21.6%0.86-0.947.6%25.5%0.7145441.2%2.2326265.8272.8240.7%100.0%17.7311.8%1644-17.9%-22.1%41077579.050.047562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + EQ N50 cap10 + regime sma10 entry5.7%9.1%25.3%0.57-0.789.3%14.0%20.2%0.85-1.077.3%25.3%0.742741.2%2.2225022.36276.7138.7%100.0%16.911.2%1645-17.9%-21.5%4988604.120.079562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + EQ N50 cap10 + regime sma10 exit5.2%9.1%25.3%0.56-0.849.5%14.0%15.0%1.11-0.887.1%25.3%0.7846244.2%2.3320952.06180.9626.0%100.0%11.897.6%1631-18.1%-18.7%41038445.410.069562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + no regime15.6%9.1%30.2%0.80.7912.0%14.0%38.4%0.63-0.1914.1%38.4%0.7423346.4%2.63235396.04356.3677.8%100.0%12.2922.6%873-22.7%-22.3%53677175.410.0281562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry16.8%9.1%30.2%0.860.9212.3%14.0%35.3%0.71-0.2114.7%35.3%0.821048.6%3.33276278.46382.5773.1%100.0%11.8321.1%874-22.7%-19.3%53257424.150.0306562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 exit13.4%9.1%30.2%0.730.4313.7%14.0%29.1%0.840.0513.5%30.2%0.7729147.8%2.47157438.66189.5651.9%100.0%7.8915.3%883-22.7%-21.9%54707070.010.0246562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.0 + EQ N50 cap10 + no regime5.4%9.1%25.3%0.52-0.858.6%14.0%29.0%0.67-1.266.8%29.0%0.641841.1%2.0123252.72352.9948.1%100.0%21.9414.0%1678-17.8%-22.4%4928293.20.069562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.0 + EQ N50 cap10 + regime sma10 entry5.4%9.1%25.0%0.53-0.848.3%14.0%27.5%0.68-1.336.7%27.5%0.639041.0%2.0523394.8362.3746.2%100.0%21.113.4%1678-17.8%-21.9%4858470.010.0102562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end only k1.0 + EQ N50 cap10 + regime sma10 exit5.2%9.1%25.1%0.56-0.849.3%14.0%15.3%1.08-0.927.0%25.1%0.7746043.9%2.2820440.4183.9926.2%100.0%12.037.7%1631-18.0%-18.5%41022406.00.071562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.5 + FILL N20 cap10 + no regime15.8%9.1%34.1%0.80.8613.8%14.0%37.9%0.730.1215.0%37.9%0.7822544.0%2.88254508.3379.1280.0%100.0%12.5223.3%881-22.7%-28.6%43336116.20.0283562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.5 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry16.6%9.1%34.1%0.860.9115.1%14.0%35.5%0.840.3516.0%35.5%0.8520543.4%3.76311593.07386.4175.9%100.0%11.6421.9%851-22.7%-24.4%43027241.230.0306562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.5 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 exit11.0%9.1%34.1%0.640.1212.5%14.0%31.9%0.78-0.1311.6%34.1%0.727545.5%2.32115402.02207.052.8%100.0%8.1415.7%884-22.7%-24.6%43428381.710.0262562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.5 + EQ N50 cap10 + no regime5.5%9.1%30.6%0.49-0.8411.0%14.0%27.4%0.79-0.658.0%30.6%0.6440340.9%2.2730843.66364.3651.0%100.0%21.6315.0%1678-18.0%-28.1%4960107.220.083562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.5 + EQ N50 cap10 + regime sma10 entry5.7%9.1%29.8%0.51-0.810.8%14.0%25.0%0.8-0.717.9%29.8%0.6537641.5%2.4533384.24371.7348.4%100.0%20.6614.2%1677-18.0%-27.3%4886707.110.0115562
Frsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.5 + EQ N50 cap10 + regime sma10 exit4.8%9.1%28.3%0.51-0.899.6%14.0%18.0%1.04-0.846.9%28.3%0.7344644.2%2.421189.49206.7228.2%100.0%13.18.4%1641-17.6%-21.3%3936847.220.083562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + dd control 15%12.5%9.1%27.4%0.790.244.7%14.0%23.7%0.44-1.778.9%27.4%0.6616243.2%2.2293738.43270.0342.8%100.0%6.3312.4%1480-22.7%-15.7%51488495.050.0387562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + dd control 20%12.8%9.1%27.4%0.790.275.8%14.0%24.4%0.55-1.69.6%27.4%0.717041.2%2.3199898.6270.9445.3%100.0%6.6912.9%1482-22.7%-20.5%51678620.080.0362562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + pwx T20 share7517.1%9.1%30.2%0.870.9414.6%14.0%35.2%0.820.2316.0%35.2%0.8525246.0%3.17300377.76291.6270.3%100.0%10.5620.4%788-22.7%-21.6%54617148.90.0264562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + pwx T10 share5017.1%9.1%30.2%0.870.9414.6%14.0%35.2%0.820.2316.0%35.2%0.8525246.0%3.17300377.76291.6270.3%100.0%10.5620.4%788-22.7%-21.6%54617148.90.0264562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + pwx T100 share75 (spec)17.1%9.1%30.2%0.870.9414.6%14.0%35.2%0.820.2316.0%35.2%0.8525246.0%3.17300377.76291.6270.3%100.0%10.5620.4%788-22.7%-21.6%54617148.90.0264562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + RISK 1% N20 cap1010.1%9.1%19.6%0.84-0.1410.6%14.0%21.2%0.84-0.8510.3%21.2%0.8526845.5%2.9387758.9291.4748.1%96.0%11.2113.1%791-13.1%-14.8%41615407.390.0246562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + RISKFILL 1% N20 cap1017.0%9.1%30.2%0.870.9215.9%14.0%30.8%0.890.4216.5%30.8%0.8924043.8%3.57352022.15286.6970.4%100.0%9.820.3%775-22.4%-21.1%54774098.180.0278562
Grsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + sector cap 25%16.5%9.1%30.2%0.840.8615.4%14.0%32.0%0.830.3616.0%32.0%0.8426044.2%3.02298223.67282.6868.8%100.0%10.4619.9%880-22.7%-21.8%44826660.350.0258562

Rules and parameters

Rules

  1. Universe: point-in-time 500 most traded NSE names each month (including delisted), 20-day median traded value of at least ₹5 crore at the signal date.
  2. Signal at the month-end close: close above SMA(20) + 2 × standard deviation of the last 20 monthly closes, and no such close in the six months before. Entry at the next month's first open.
  3. Baseline exits (month-end, sell at the next open): close below the 20-month SMA, or Supertrend(10, 2) flips from above to below.
  4. Finalist adds: RSI(14) at least 70, real body at least 60% of the range and bullish, range at least 1.0 × ATR(14); month-end exit when the close is below the previous close minus 1.0 × ATR(14); entries only while the Nifty 200 is above its 10-month average.
  5. Capital ₹50 lakh, no leverage, whole shares, at most 20 names, at most 10% of equity per stock; risk-based sizing (1% of equity at risk per trade against the SMA or Supertrend stop distance, clipped to 5-35%) scaled up to use available cash.
  6. Costs: delivery brokerage, STT, exchange, stamp and DP charges plus 0.05% / 0.10% / 0.25% slippage per fill by liquidity tier, stressed at 1x, 2x and 3x; cash earns repo minus 1.5%.
  7. Not tested: intraday monitoring beyond daily bars; dividends; sector data for delisted names.

Parameters

capital
₹50,00,000
window
2006-03 to 2025-09 (signals from 2006-02)
development
to 2016-12 (selection)
validation
2017-01 to 2025-09
sealed
2025-10 onward, never loaded
configurations
211
finalist
rsi70+body60+rng1.0 | ATR month-end + base k1.0 + FILL N20 cap10 + regime sma10 entry + RISKFILL 1% N20 cap10
pre-registration
research/bbm/STRATEGY_BBM.md
code
research/bbm/
report
docs/bb-monthly-breakout.html

Instrument

Point-in-time top-500 liquid NSE stocks including delisted names (stand-in for the Nifty 500); benchmark Nifty 200 price index · capital ₹5,000,000

Known limitations

Logs and raw data

Downloads appear once a data window is loaded.

Files are plain CSV so results can be re-computed independently. Trade dates are IST sessions; returns are net of modelled costs and slippage.